Three surfaces, two models, one engine

Where the market goes on its own

What happens if everybody plays like they typically do?

Foresight reads where each market travels under its own momentum: who enters, who expands, who withdraws, county by county, across the whole competitive field rather than a sampled subset.

• County-level entry and expansion forecasting
• Early-warning watchlist for withdrawal pressure
• Market trajectory across a 4-year horizon
• Carrier-by-carrier posture in every county you cover

Entry and expansion forecasting is validated against held-out years, meaning years the model was never shown. Withdrawal signals travel as a watchlist, not a prediction.

Where a deliberate move beats it

What should we do about it, and will it hold?

Frontier builds on that trajectory. It finds the moves that beat the market's own course, tests each one against how rivals are modeled to respond, and reports how durable the advantage is rather than only how large.

• Best-action ranking against the modeled field
• Counter-move stress testing for durability
• Rival-seat views: the board from a competitor's chair
• Support tiering on every recommendation: how much of the scored field backs it, as High, Medium, or Low

Rival-seat views are specific to Frontier. Equilibrium output, meaning which market configurations hold once every rival has responded, is presented as structural characterization, not point prediction.